But our NBA picks think several situational factors play in the home sides favor find out why were backing Denver. Marc Finn and Andres Waters contributed research. Suns-Nuggets Game 1 will feature scoring, this much we know. Statistical models by Nate Silver, Jay Boice, Neil Paine, Ryan Best and Holly Fuong. When it scores more than 111.3 points, Denver is 36-15-2 against the spread and 47-6 overall. The Nuggets put up just 4.6 more points per game (115.9) than the Suns give up (111.3). For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of The NBA.ĭesign and development by Ryan Best and Jay Boice. Denver has a 35-11-1 record against the spread and a 39-8 record overall when giving up fewer than 113.7 points. On the other side, the Over is 5-2 in the. The Suns have experienced more points than projected in eight of their last 11 games, as well as in all but one of their latest six home contests. Quality is determined by the harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings importance measures how much the result will alter playoff projections the overall number is the average of the quality and importance values.ĭownload data. For Game 4s best bet, Im going with the Over on the 227-point total a number thats been surpassed twice through three games. Elo ratings - which power the pure Elo forecast - are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Suns picks SportsLines model is leaning under on the total, projecting 220 combined points. A team’s current rating reflects any injuries and rest days in effect at the moment of the team's next game. A team’s full-strength rating assumes all of its key players are in the lineup. These are combined with up-to-date depth charts - tracking injuries, trades, changes in playing time and other player transactions - to generate talent estimates for each team. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. Aaron Gordon of the Denver Nuggets hammers a ferocious dunk on the head of Landry Shamet of the Phoenix Suns during overtime of Denver's 128-125 win at Ball Arena on Christmas Day.ĪAron Ontiveroz/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Imagesĭenver firmly believes they can send the Suns packing as long as they play their brand of basketball, but they know it won't be easy against a Suns team that dispatched the Los Angeles Clippers 4-1 in the first round.How this works: These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. That included a thrilling 128-125 overtime win on Christmas Day. If necessary, games 5, 6 and 7 would take place on May 9, 11 and 14.ĭuring the regular season the Nuggets had a 2-2 record against the Suns. Nuggets Game 2 prediction, pick, how to watch appeared first on ClutchPoints. Initially, the The post NBA Playoffs Odds: Suns vs. Game 4 will happen on Sunday, May 7 at 6 p.m. The Nuggets destroyed the Suns 125-107 in Game 1. Game 3 won't happen until four days later - Friday, May 5 at 8 p.m. Originally, the Nuggets opened Game 4 as a 1.5-point favorite but bettors have since heavily favored the Suns and pushed the line in the other direction toward Phoenix’s favor, according to Odds. The series then shifts to Arizona, and there's a big break between games. Game 2 will also be at home and will be on Monday at 8 p.m. Tipoff for Saturday's Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals is 6:30 p.m. The Phoenix Suns (51-21) visit the Denver Nuggets (47-25) in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals on Sunday, Jat 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The schedule is set for the top-seeded Denver Nuggets upcoming playoff matchup with the Phoenix Suns. Nuggets preparing for Games 3 and 4 in Arizona 07:04
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |